Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.009206 0.010879 0.012903 0.015571 0.019065 0.023581 0.030031
2025-09-07 0.006894 0.008777 0.011317 0.015126 0.020956 0.030046 0.046521
2025-09-14 0.005595 0.007448 0.010121 0.014479 0.021911 0.035265 0.064865
2025-09-21 0.004878 0.006728 0.009543 0.014466 0.023707 0.042691 0.094677
2025-09-28 0.004483 0.006386 0.009433 0.015135 0.026931 0.054961 0.154350
2025-10-05 0.004283 0.006299 0.009695 0.016516 0.032210 0.076513 0.300792
2025-10-12 0.004001 0.006027 0.009575 0.017110 0.036040 0.098396 0.561399
2025-10-19 0.003659 0.005604 0.009104 0.016838 0.037575 0.114771 0.940388
2025-10-26 0.003418 0.005325 0.008853 0.016981 0.040382 0.140815 1.958486
2025-11-02 0.003163 0.004990 0.008440 0.016646 0.041623 0.162312 4.017671
2025-11-09 0.002875 0.004566 0.007796 0.015611 0.040146 0.167170 6.317041
2025-11-16 0.002648 0.004235 0.007302 0.014863 0.039410 0.176760 12.116044
2025-11-23 0.002518 0.004090 0.007210 0.015227 0.043361 0.234147 285.699594
2025-11-30 0.002335 0.003830 0.006843 0.014793 0.044128 0.271717 NaN
2025-12-07 0.002160 0.003567 0.006439 0.014164 0.043795 0.300268 NaN
2025-12-14 0.002047 0.003417 0.006263 0.014152 0.046283 0.380304 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001989 0.003368 0.006306 0.014801 0.052592 0.583724 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001972 0.003401 0.006543 0.016139 0.064294 1.176800 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001913 0.003339 0.006544 0.016714 0.072469 2.104384 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001817 0.003193 0.006320 0.016451 0.074796 2.953171 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001748 0.003098 0.006214 0.016589 0.080546 5.273378 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001665 0.002966 0.005997 0.016265 0.082362 7.978504 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001560 0.002779 0.005622 0.015262 0.077485 7.706322 NaN